Climate needs carbon removals
Every credible pathway to climate neutrality requires carbon removals to address residual emissions from hard-to-abate sectors
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Carbon dioxide removal is an essential complement to emissions reductions. Permanent carbon removals are needed to counterbalance residual emissions from sectors where emissions cannot be fully eliminated, enabling the achievement of net-zero emissions. Beyond net zero, carbon removals will also play a critical role in addressing emissions overshoot and delivering net-negative emissions to help stabilise global temperatures over the long term, in line with the European Climate Law’s objective of achieving negative emissions after 2050.
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Climate science shows that carbon removals must be scaled up rapidly over the coming decades to meet global climate goals. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimates that between 5 and 10 gigatonnes of carbon removals will be needed globally every year by 2050, compared with only around 2 gigatonnes removed annually today, the overwhelming majority of which are temporary. Countries have collectively pledged to reach only around 3.6 gigatonnes of removals by 2050, leaving a significant gap between current ambition and what climate scenarios require. In Europe, the European Commission’s impact assessment for the 2040 climate target foresees 75 million tonnes of industrial carbon removals per year by 2040 and 114 million tonnes by 2050, underlining the need for policies that accelerate investment and deployment.
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Carbon removals cannot be scaled overnight. Building the technologies, infrastructure, and investment needed to deliver high-integrity permanent removals at scale will take time. Without early policy support, Europe risks entering the 2030s with insufficient domestic carbon removal capacity to meet growing demand from hard-to-abate sectors, increasing the cost and complexity of achieving climate neutrality. Creating early markets through targeted public support and clear long-term policy signals can help scale the carbon removals sector, drive down costs, and ensure that sufficient high-quality removals are available when compliance demand emerges.
Mainstreaming carbon removals in EU law